(See 2010 Market/Economy Predictions for past year's predictions & scores.)
I'm sticking again with a deflationary theme for the next year. Given the makeup of the new Congress, it'll be more difficult for the USG and Fed to keep extending and pretending.
I'm sticking again with a deflationary theme for the next year. Given the makeup of the new Congress, it'll be more difficult for the USG and Fed to keep extending and pretending.
S&P500 | Gold | Oil | USDEUR | USDJPY | TNX | TYX | Case-Shiller SF MSA | Case-Shiller 20-composite | Unemployment (U-6) | |
Starting value | 1257 | 1421 | 91 | 0.75 | 81.79 | 3.3% | 4.36% | 138.84 | 145.32 | 17% |
| My prediction | 1000 | 1250 | 60 | 0.80 | 90 | 3% | 4% | 125 | 130 | 19% |
| Actual value | 1257 | 1520 | 99 | 0.77 | 78 | 1.87% | 2.89% | 133.22 | 141.97 | 15.6% |
Note: the Case-Shiller numbers reported in December are for October, and the unemployment numbers reported in December are for November.
