(See 2011 Market/Economy Predictions for past year's predictions & scores.)
Again sticking with a deflationary theme for 2012, with a strong dollar. Deleveraging and relatively bigger problems elsewhere in the world keep Treasury rates down despite worsening debt picture in the US.
Again sticking with a deflationary theme for 2012, with a strong dollar. Deleveraging and relatively bigger problems elsewhere in the world keep Treasury rates down despite worsening debt picture in the US.
S&P500 | Gold | Oil | DXY | TNX | TYX | Case-Shiller SF MSA | Case-Shiller 20-composite | Unemployment (U-6) | ||
Starting value | 1257 | 1520 | 99 | 80.2 | 1.87% | 2.89% | 133.22 | 141.97 | 15.6% | |
| My prediction | 1000 | 1250 | 60 | 90 | 2% | 3% | 125 | 135 | 17% | |
| Actual value |
Bonus prediction: Obama doesn't get reelected, due to a poor economy.
Note: the Case-Shiller numbers reported in December are for October, and the unemployment numbers reported in December are for November.
